Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003849 0.004041 0.004236 0.004452 0.004683 0.004923 0.005193
2025-01-26 0.003522 0.003811 0.004119 0.004473 0.004871 0.005305 0.005817
2025-02-02 0.003387 0.003742 0.004132 0.004595 0.005132 0.005739 0.006483
2025-02-09 0.003185 0.003573 0.004009 0.004539 0.005170 0.005903 0.006831
2025-02-16 0.003045 0.003463 0.003940 0.004531 0.005252 0.006111 0.007228
2025-02-23 0.002916 0.003353 0.003862 0.004503 0.005300 0.006272 0.007568
2025-03-02 0.002842 0.003305 0.003850 0.004550 0.005438 0.006544 0.008058
2025-03-09 0.002736 0.003210 0.003776 0.004514 0.005465 0.006673 0.008362
2025-03-16 0.002638 0.003120 0.003703 0.004473 0.005481 0.006783 0.008644
2025-03-23 0.002533 0.003018 0.003609 0.004399 0.005448 0.006824 0.008828
2025-03-30 0.002440 0.002925 0.003524 0.004332 0.005419 0.006866 0.009012
2025-04-06 0.002386 0.002881 0.003498 0.004341 0.005490 0.007046 0.009398
2025-04-13 0.002266 0.002750 0.003357 0.004194 0.005345 0.006923 0.009344
2025-04-20 0.002222 0.002715 0.003341 0.004213 0.005431 0.007129 0.009788
2025-04-27 0.002218 0.002732 0.003392 0.004325 0.005649 0.007533 0.010558
2025-05-04 0.002151 0.002664 0.003327 0.004273 0.005632 0.007591 0.010792
2025-05-11 0.002105 0.002622 0.003296 0.004266 0.005678 0.007743 0.011182
2025-05-18 0.002054 0.002572 0.003252 0.004240 0.005693 0.007849 0.011502
2025-05-25 0.002031 0.002558 0.003257 0.004284 0.005813 0.008118 0.012109
2025-06-01 0.001983 0.002509 0.003211 0.004250 0.005815 0.008203 0.012408
2025-06-08 0.001935 0.002459 0.003163 0.004213 0.005808 0.008273 0.012683
2025-06-15 0.001880 0.002397 0.003096 0.004145 0.005752 0.008260 0.012809
2025-06-22 0.001829 0.002340 0.003034 0.004083 0.005702 0.008255 0.012949